EUROVISION 2021 – One week left before the rehearsals with the artists begin in Rotterdam, while stand-in testing is underway. Eurostars are not travelling to promote this year, instead, they are using social media and various interviews to interact with the fans and convince them to vote for them. But what’s actually going on in the predictions?
EUROPREDICTION 2021
While you can still vote or edit your choices on EUROPREDICTION 2021, Lithuania and Switzerland lead the two semi-finals. Lithuania, Malta, Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Croatia, Romania, Ukraine, Israel, Sweden, Ireland are tipped to qualify in the first semi-final while Switzerland, Greece, San Mario, Finland, Iceland, Moldova, Bulgaria, Latvia, Denmark and Albania tipped as second semi-final qualifiers.
BETTING ODDS
In the betting odds, for the trophy, Malta has 19% chances to win Eurovision Song Contest 2021m been the favourite one more week. France follows with 13% chances and the top five completes with Switzerland, Italy and Iceland.
- Malta, Switzerland and France have the best chances to rank in the final top three
- Malta, Switzerland, France, Italy and Iceland have the best chances for a top-five rank
- Malta, Italy, France, Switzerland, Lithuania, Sweden, Iceland, Bulgaria, Cyprus and
- Finland has the best chances to end up in the Grand Final’s top ten.
- Sweden is the Nordic entry with the best chances to do well on the scoreboard
- France remains the country with the best chances to do well in the grand final among the BIG5 and host country bids (which anyway competed directly on May 22nd)
- Malta, Sweden, Lithuania, Cyprus, Romania, Ukraine, Russia, Azerbaijan, Norway and Croatia have the best chances to qualify in the first semi-final
- Switzerland, Bulgaria, Finland, Iceland, Greece, San Marino, Moldova, Serbia, Albania and Austria have the best chances to qualify in the second semi-final
HISTORY OF BETTING ODDS
- 2007 – Switzerland ❌
- 2008 – Russia ✅
- 2009 – Norway ✅
- 2010 – Germany ✅
- 2011 – France ❌
- 2012 – Sweden ✅
- 2013 – Denmark ✅
- 2014 – Armenia ❌
- 2015 – Sweden ✅
- 2016 – Russia ❌ (although won public voting)
- 2017 – Italy ❌
- 2018 – Israel ✅
- 2019 – The Netherlands ✅
ICELANDIC PREVIEWS CURRENT STANDINGS
- Iceland – Daði og Gagnamagnið – 10 Years – 48 points
- Romania – Roxen – Amnesia – 40 points
- Malta – Destiny – Je me cases – 40 points
- Russia – Manizha – Russian Woman – 38 points
- Lithuania – The Roop – Discoteque – 35 points
- Austria – Vincent Bueno – Amen – 35 points
- Sweden – Tusse – Million Voices – 33 points
- Norway – Tix – Fallen Angel – 32 points
- Israel – Eden Alene – Set Me Free – 32 points
- Ukraine – Go_A – Shum – 32 points
- Greece – Stefania – Last Dance – 31 points
- Moldova – Natalia Gordienko – Sugar – 28 points
- San Marino – Senhit – Adrenalina – 27 points
- Azerbaijan – Efendi – Mata Hari – 26 points
- Croatia – Albina – Tick-Tock – 25 points
- Czech Republic – Benny Cristo – Omaga – 23 points
- Ireland – Lesley Roy – Maps – 22 points
- Cyprus – Elena Tsagrinou – El Diablo – 19 points
- Poland – Rafał – The Ride – 18 points
- Estonia – Uku Suviste – The Lucky One – 16 points
- Belgium – Hooverphonic – The Wrong Place – 15 points
- Slovenia – Ana Soklic – Amen – 13 points
- North Macedonia – Vasil – Here I Stand – 7 points
- Australia – Montaigne – Technicolor – 7 points
NORWEGIAN PREVIEW CURRENT STANDINGS
- Italy – Måneskin – Zitti e buoni – 94 points
- Malta – Destiny – Je me casse – 86 points
- Sweden – Tusse – Voices – 82 points
- San Marino – Senhit – Adrenalina – 82 points
- Azerbaijan – Efendi – Mata Hari- 77 points
- Iceland – Daði og Gagnamagnið – 10 Years – 76 points
- Lithuania – The Roop – Discoteque – 71 points
- Israel – Eden Alene – Set Me Free – 70 points
- Slovenia – Ana Soklič – Amen – 66 points
- France – Barbara Pravi – Viola – 63 points
- Russia – Manizha – Russian Woman – 62 points
- Denmark – Fyr & Flamme – Øve os på hinanden – 59 points
- Ireland – Lesley Roy – Maps – 54 points
- Finland – Blind Channel – Dark Side – 54 points
- Latvia – Samanta Tina – The Moon Is Rising – 50 points
- Croatia – Albina – Tick-Tock – 46 points
- Bulgaria – Victoria – Growing up is getting old – 45 points
- Ukraine – Go_A – Shum – 45 points
- Spain – Blas Canto – Voy a quedarme- 41 points
- Estonia – Uku Suviste – The Lucky One – 40 points
- Australia – Montaigne – Technicolour – 39 points
- Serbia – Hurricane – Loco Loco – 39 points
- Georgia – Tornike Kipaini – You – 39 points
- Poland – Rafal – The Ride – 36 points
- Germany – Jendrik – I Don’t Feel Hate – 31 points
- Portugal – The Black Mamba – Love Is On My Side – 30 points
- Austria – Vincent Bueno – Amen – 29 points
- Belgium – Hooverphonic – The Wrong Place – 16 points
OGAE INTERNATIONAL (21/43) STANDINGS*
- Switzerland – 194 points
- Malta – 169 points
- France – 162 points
- Lithuania – 143 points
- San Marino – 118 points
keep in mind that the results are based on a very limited number of voters and cannot be considered accurate.
OGAE POLL HISTORY
- 73% of their results match with those of the betting odds
- 72% of their results predict the top fifteen
- 60% of their results predict the top five
- In 2019, Italy predicted to win
- In 2018, Israel correctly predicted to win
- In 2017, Italy predicted to win
- In 2016, France predicted to win
- In 2015, Italy predicted to win (they won the public voting)
- In 2014, Sweden predicted to win
- In 2013, Denmark correctly predicted to win
- In 2012, Sweden correctly predicted to win
- In 2011, Hungary predicted to win
- In 2010, Denmark predicted to win
INFE INTERNATIONAL (16/22) STANDINGS*
- Switzerland – 126 points
- San Marino – 89 points
- Malta – 83 points
- France – 78 points
- Lithuania – 62 points
keep in mind that the results are based on a very limited number of voters and cannot be considered accurate.
IN THE MEANTIME
15 countries are running a Dutch initiative, to vote through radio stations, the best ever Eurovision song performed. The result will be revealed on the day of the Eurovision 2021 Grand Final. There are four radio stations confirmed and publicly known.
- Germany – WDR 4
- Sweden – Sveriges Radio P4
- Netherlands – NPO Radio 2
- United Kingdom – BBC Radio 2
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